The world is getting better

I’ve attempted as much as possible to limit the “Doomsday-tarian” style of commentary on this platform, in part because there’s already more than enough of that taking up space on other liberty-oriented websites, but also because, try as I might, I do not see doomsday on the horizon. In fact I see the opposite. The world is getting better. A sustained environment of liberty, spread through greater reaches of the world, is generating a more cultured, better fed, better educated population than has ever existed in the history of the human race. The proto-fascist ravings of Greta Thunberg notwithstanding, the past decade that she has lived through has been the most prosperous ever witnessed in Western nations, and most certainly in her home country. Greater numbers of people are experiencing true progress, despite the process generating it existing below the surface, and despite this real progress being taken for granted by most. Greater numbers of people are recognizing the truth that, when left to their own devices, when left free, the human species is capable of real-world miracles. When left free, the invisible hand, or spontaneous order, or whatever you’d like to call it, goes to work, and the daily actions of each free individual working within a web of hundreds of millions of other free individuals generates unimaginable prosperity. And they are miracles, only ones taken for granted.

Many do not want to hear that the world is getting better. The doomsday tale is far more interesting. ‘Doomsday-ism’ sells. People love to be told to fear something, to be told that war is just over the horizon, to hear reports of various atrocities breathlessly reported on the nightly news. They love the cinematic aspect of world-ending scenarios, of war, terrorism, et cetera. Reality, as channeled and distorted through the news, becomes cinematic, and dramatic. And interesting. “If it bleeds it leads.” People want Armageddon as entertainment, as they always have. It’s human nature I suppose. We all know someone who is addicted to complaining, and appears to inject every new crisis directly into a vein.

Yet despite the reports of humankind’s inevitable demise, contrary facts continue to emerge. For instance. The market prices for this planet’s stock of non-renewable resources continue to fall, contrary to the Ishmael doomsday-ists, and really contrary to what one would expect in the face of a rising global population. CATO’s Simon Abundance Index tracks this miraculous fall in the price of 50 fundamental commodities.

Liberty is the principle that becomes the engine of miraculous progress, but one that gets almost no credit from those who benefit the most. In fact it’ the only means of achieving progress, but because it’s benefits are indirect, voters have a much harder time of seeing those benefits as opposed to the ones stemming from direct government action, even when that action undercuts the progress that they most benefit from.

Marijuana legalization is a perfect example. The rapid cascade of legalization across the United States has unleashed a tidal wave innovation, entrepreneurship, job creation, and widespread access to a risk-free alternative to expensive, dangerous, and addictive pharmaceutical drugs. This has been a true, real-world miracle, and it should be hailed as such. Many do, but too many still fail to see the source of the miracle, a source that could be tapped and channeled to cure other, greater societal ills that far too many people look to government to solve through the magic wand of the legislator.

It’s fairly obvious that we humans are hardwired to seek out a Messiah, and despite the modern world we live in, most of us still look to the sky for miracles or signs of approaching Armageddon. And so we imbue various man-made institutions with divine authority, and demand miracles.

We should be careful of how frequently we indulge our primitive desire for Messiahs, because when they do appear it’ll be too late to get rid of them.

The advocates of liberty must become more than mere chroniclers of the rise of authoritarianism. An imaginative and consistent vision of what a truly free society would look like must be developed. Doomsday-ism does sell well though, which is nothing new. Busybodyism, that ugly Puritan hatred for, and distrust of, anything new and different, also sells well. With every demographic shift or cultural change, the busybodies emerge, columns and books fully-formed, to deride the change. But the change is good, if it is a product of the natural, unforced, purely voluntary process that liberty generates.

So, to the title of this post. Contra the doomsday crowd, the world is getting better. This, of course, is thanks to a sustained, relatively free environment for uncontrolled experimentation and entrepreneurship to flourish. While much of the world is nowhere near to developing an open society that respects the rights of individuals, the entire world is benefiting from what little liberty does exist. It’s vitally important that as many as possible understand the principle underlying this progress, in the hope that greater numbers of people will give up their quest for a government-created Paradise and permit the liberty from which can be the only true environment in which a real-world Paradise can emerge. We must understand why prosperity occurs. It’s not god, nor is it government, nor is it merely accidental. It has a source that we are able to discern. While we cannot use government to force a plan for prosperity upon society, we are able to create the conditions from which it will emerge. If we’re to have another decade of marvelous prosperity, it’s vital that as many people as possible understand how it occurs.

I’m sure I’ll have more to say about this once I’ve given it time to marinate.

54% rise in cervical cancer rate among young women in UK, as new research questions effectiveness of HPV vaccine

Disturbing article from the Independent:

Speaking about the 12 published HPV vaccine trials:

“Researchers at Newcastle University and Queen Mary University of London discovered the trials were not designed to identify cervical cancer, which takes decades to develop. 

Dr Claire Rees, lead researcher, said: “Trials may have overestimated efficacy by combining high-grade cervical disease with low-grade cervical changes that occur more frequently but often resolve spontaneously without progressing. We found insufficient data to clearly conclude that HPV vaccine prevents the higher-grade abnormal cell changes that can eventually develop into cervical cancer.

“Abnormal cell changes are likely to have been over diagnosed in the trials because cervical cytology was conducted at six to 12 months rather than at the normal screening interval of 36 months. This, too, means that the trials may have overestimated the efficacy of the vaccine, again because some of the lesions would have regressed spontaneously.”

Professor Allyson Pollock, co-author of the report, urged women to attend regular cervical screenings. She said: “We have good evidence that cervical screening significantly reduces the risk of cervical cancer in women regardless of whether they have been vaccinated.””

The HPV vaccine may create a false sense of security in young women as well, making them even less inclined to attend a screening, believing that they are protected because they received the vaccine.

The epidemic of police suicide that is never talked about

228 officers killed themselves in 2019, a number far and above the 47 who were gunned down, or even the 77 who died as a result of car crashes and other accidents. It’s not a number that’s talked about all that much, either, but shows that there is something very wrong happening under the radar for the cops themselves. Whether the job is attracting individuals prone to violent, self-destructive behavior, or the stress of the job is compelling suicidal thoughts, or some combination, the toll it is taking is very real. We hear quite a bit about the “War on Cops”, but the truth is the officers are the real threat to themselves. A change is badly needed in the way that police work is done in the US, for the sake of citizens and for cops.

The CDC is the single largest purchaser of vaccines on the planet

Is it possible to trust the CDC on the topic of vaccine safety, given the fact that they spent over  $5 billion in 2018 on vaccines? Their budget was increased to $5.9 billion in 2019.

It’s time to admit that there is no way that the CDC will ever seriously entertain or discuss concerns regarding vaccine safety given this massive conflict of interest.

Iran MP puts $3 million hit on Trump

I had a feeling that it would come to this.

It would be a terrible tragedy if it were to happen, and it puts Trump’s family in danger as well. My question is: did Trump think through his decision to assassinate an immensely popular Iranian military leader? Does he believe that, because he is President of the United States, that he is somehow invincible, or safely shielded from a more personal revenge attack on the part of Iranian assassins? I think of the car bomb placed under the vehicle of the captain of the USS Vicennes, the warship that shot down Iran Air Flight 655 in 1988, killing 290 people. Thankfully the car bomb didn’t achieve it’s objective of killing the captain, although it did almost kill his wife. The point being that it borders the impossible to protect against assassination, no matter how powerful the nation in which you serve happens to be. This seems to be something that our leaders should take into account. If they don’t care about the consequences of their actions for this country, they should at least worry about their own hide, and that of their family and friends.

Iran won’t soon forget the murder of Soleimani, and their revenge unfortunately may take the form of targeted strikes rather than all-out war.

01/18/19 Links

Science Mag: FDA and NIH let clinical trial sponsors keep results secret and break the law: “CONGRESS APPROVED THE CREATION OF ClinicalTrials.gov in 1997, after allegations that patients were harmed because companies withheld evidence showing their medicines were ineffective or hazardous. A widely cited case involved the GlaxoSmithKline antidepressant Paxil (paroxetine). According to legal filings and a report in The BMJ, the firm held secret data showing that in clinical trials the drug was ineffective and caused suicidal thoughts in teenagers, yet encouraged doctors to prescribe it for young people…

…Among more than 4700 clinical trials examined by Science, less than 45% had their results reported early or on time to ClinicalTrials.gov.”

PHILIP GIRALDI: Who targeted Ukraine Airlines flight 752? Iran shot it down but there may be more to the story

KELLEY VLAHOS: Yes, conservative vets want out of Afghanistan, too

Reason: Does letting police enter your house give them permission to wreck it?

Spiked: Unlearning the lessons of Prohibition

Mises.org: California’s anti-self-employment law is already crushing freelancers

PR Newswire: Tamiflu fraud bilked $1.5 billion from federal gov’t, alleges whistleblower

Oregon movement to legalize therapeutic psilocybin gets support from Dem. Congressman

Oregon activists are currently gathering signatures to get the Psilocybin Services Act on the ballot in the state, which would allow licensed facilities to administer psilocybin on site in a safe and supervised environment. The movement has also earned the support of Democratic Congressman Earl Blumenaur, who was a vocal proponent of marijuana legalization.

Psilocybin has proven its power as a true “anti-depressant” that has succeeded where other, synthetic Pharma drugs have failed. The FDA has called it a “breakthrough therapy” for depression, and has shown an 80% success rate in smoking cessation. A psilocybin nasal spray has also been developed to treat PTSD and depression. This is truly unbelievable. Really, we need to pause and appreciate what is happening. The dogma of a century regarding drug prohibition is crumbling like a salt idol in Gomorrah. People are shaking off the chains they didn’t even know were there, and taking back their lives and their liberty.

We are living in strange, fascinating, and wonderful times. We have all witnessed a true miracle within the last three years: the cascading legalization of cannabis, along with the beautiful, blossoming innovation and entrepreneurship that has followed. It’s a real-world miracle for hundreds of thousands of people, and if everyone would stop looking to the sky or the government for miracles, they would see it as such.

The Psychedelic Renaissance is here. Pharma is a dinosaur, and their poisoned pill mills will follow them into extinction. The people will soon have easy and cheap access to an even greater variety of real medicine, and real healing will begin to occur. We are witness to a turning point in human evolution, in the sense that we are becoming more human. Yes, that is very optimistic, particularly so given the fact that many of us are addicted to various apocalypse prophecies, an admittedly very human trait. But the world is getting better. Contra Greta Thunberg, this past decade has been the most prosperous, strange, and interesting, that our species has ever created. We are living through an historical and evolutionary turning point. Maybe it’s more like a hockey stick. Let’s pause to appreciate that, and assist this free evolution as far and wide as possible.