Venezuela a year from now

Overnight it seems, we’re returned to 2004, with echoes of Bush-era fanfare over a “mission accomplished”, as born-again neoconservatives going full Pentacostal over Maduro being perp-walked to a jail cell. “We own the oil now”, and “we liberated the Venezuelans”, are identical talking points from the Iraq War era. How’d it all turn out for Iraq? It’s a failed state, a dumpster fire, a hell on earth. Regime change has a terrible track record, and nations that are force-fed them always turn into lands ruled by the most barbaric. If Venezuela doesn’t descend into a cartel slaughterhouse, I’ll eat my hat. Trump doesn’t have the stomach to secure the oil, nor the manpower to prevent someone far worse than Maduro taking power.

Regime change supporters thumb their noses at the warnings of a new Vietnam: “It didnt’ happen!” Yeah, the quagmire comes later. We’re about to get a front-row seat to the sunk cost fallacy on a geopolitical scale.

Author: S. Smith